A calibration method for SWMM to mitigate the impact of the structure defect without considering runoff on building walls

Abstract

In this study, we propose a hypothesis that an automatic calibration framework can address modeling uncertainties in the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) due to structural defects that result in the inability of the model to account for runoff generated on building walls from wind-driven rain. To test this hypothesis, we introduce a rainfall error model into the calibration framework to indirectly consider the effects of inclined wind-driven rain on building walls. We couple the optimization algorithm Differential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis (DREAM) with SWMM using newly developed API functions. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the framework, we conduct a case study in Guangzhou, China and assess the impacts of rainfall uncertainty on model parameter estimations and simulated runoff boundaries. The results show that the framework can improve the average Nash–Sutcliffe index of selected events by more than 5%. It also captures peak flow more accurately. This framework contributes to the theory of SWMM calibration by accounting for structural defects and considering rainfall uncertainty.