Profiling User Needs for Weather and Climate Information in Fostering Drought Risk Preparedness in Central-Southern Nigeria

Abstract

Weather and climate information trigger early action and facilitate better disaster preparedness. Decision-driven and people-centered weather and climate information are pivotal for the effective uptake. The challenge of early responses in preparing for drought hazard is growing in the dry savannah of tropical sub-Saharan African countries. This paper analyzed user needs for weather and climate information in fostering drought risk preparedness in Central-Southern Nigeria. Stratified, snowball, and simple random samplings were used to obtain a sample of 397 respondents across the agro-ecological zones of Edo State. Structured questionnaire was used to collect farm-level household data across communities. Eight focus group discussions and 11 key informants' interviews were conducted, targeting contact farmers and other agricultural stakeholders in selected key economic sectors of Edo State, Central-Southern Nigeria. Results show that non-users of weather and climate information are more than users in the savannah area. Heckman probit results explained that male gender, farmers' experience, income, and persistent incidence of erratic rainfall have more propensity to facilitate use of WCI in taking critical decisions while group membership or associations and distance of meteorological station prevent stakeholders from developing interest in using WCI for drought preparedness and response. Multi-criteria decision-making indicated that rainfall amount, onset and cessation rainfall dates, and rainfall distributions are the most useful WCI needed by end users in their decision response plan in agriculture; rainfall intensity, rainfall cessation date, rainfall distributions, and length of dry season are ranked as the most useful WCI for water resource management while heat intensity, rainstorms, and drought alerts were ranked as most appropriate for users in the disaster risk reduction in fostering resilience toward anticipated future drought hazard. Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) and medium (4–10 days) timescales information are the most highly rated to facilitate resource planning for efficient utilization and management in all the economic sectors. The users' most preferred delivery method of receiving WCI are mobile telephone, radio, agricultural extension officers, farmers' groups, and contact farmers/specialist for efficiency and convenient criteria in enhancing users' decision capacity to uptake WCI. There is a need for a policy drive to build synergy that will make WCI forecasting systems include impact-based forecast estimates and response advisory across a wide range of natural hazards. A seamless collaborative effort in bringing scientific outputs and users' needs together will increase the utility of WCI through systematic efforts. NiMet should improve on its engagement with the stakeholders, the agricultural extension and planning office, water management authorities, and disaster risk reduction and emergency response personnel as partner institutions. These policy actions would provide a robust collaborative framework for co-producing useable WCI based on user needs in managing decision points against extreme events and mainstream preparedness into existing decision-making apparatus of rural communities in Central-Southern Nigeria.