A novel lysosome-related gene signature coupled with gleason score for prognosis prediction in prostate cancer

Abstract

Background: Prostate cancer (PCa) is highly heterogeneous, which makes it difficult to precisely distinguish the clinical stages and histological grades of tumor lesions, thereby leading to large amounts of under- and over-treatment. Thus, we expect the development of novel prediction approaches for the prevention of inadequate therapies. The emerging evidence demonstrates the pivotal role of lysosome-related mechanisms in the prognosis of PCa. In this study, we aimed to identify a lysosome-related prognostic predictor in PCa for future therapies.Methods: The PCa samples involved in this study were gathered from The Cancer Genome Atlas database (TCGA) (n = 552) and cBioPortal database (n = 82). During screening, we categorized PCa patients into two immune groups based on median ssGSEA scores. Then, the Gleason score and lysosome-related genes were included and screened out by using a univariate Cox regression analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operation (LASSO) analysis. Following further analysis, the probability of progression free interval (PFI) was modeled by using unadjusted Kaplan–Meier estimation curves and a multivariable Cox regression analysis. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, nomogram and calibration curve were used to examine the predictive value of this model in discriminating progression events from non-events. The model was trained and repeatedly validated by creating a training set (n = 400), an internal validation set (n = 100) and an external validation (n = 82) from the cohort.Results: Following grouping by ssGSEA score, the Gleason score and two LRGs—neutrophil cytosolic factor 1 (NCF1) and gamma-interferon-inducible lysosomal thiol reductase (IFI30)—were screened out to differentiate patients with or without progression (1-year AUC = 0.787; 3-year AUC = 0.798; 5-year AUC = 0.772; 10-year AUC = 0.832). Patients with a higher risk showed poorer outcomes (p < 0.0001) and a higher cumulative hazard (p < 0.0001). Besides this, our risk model combined LRGs with the Gleason score and presented a more accurate prediction of PCa prognosis than the Gleason score alone. In three validation sets, our model still achieved high prediction rates.Conclusion: In conclusion, this novel lysosome-related gene signature, coupled with the Gleason score, works well in PCa for prognosis prediction.