Machine-learned-based prediction of lower extremity overuse injuries using pressure plates

Abstract

Although running has many benefits for both the physical and mental health, it also involves the risk of injuries which results in negative physical, psychological and economical consequences. Those injuries are often linked to specific running biomechanical parameters such as the pressure pattern of the foot while running, and they could potentially be indicative for future injuries. Previous studies focus solely on some specific type of running injury and are often only applicable to a gender or running-experience specific population. The purpose of this study is, for both male and female, first-year students, (i) to predict the development of a lower extremity overuse injury in the next 6 months based on foot pressure measurements from a pressure plate and (ii) to identify the predictive loading features. For the first objective, we developed a machine learning pipeline that analyzes foot pressure measurements and predicts whether a lower extremity overuse injury is likely to occur with an AUC of 0.639 and a Brier score of 0.201. For the second objective, we found that the higher pressures exerted on the forefoot are the most predictive for lower extremity overuse injuries and that foot areas from both the lateral and the medial side are needed. Furthermore, there are two kinds of predictive features: the angle of the FFT coefficients and the coefficients of the autoregressive AR process. However, these features are not interpretable in terms of the running biomechanics, limiting its practical use for injury prevention.