Machine learning-optimized Combinatorial MRI scale (COMRISv2) correlates highly with cognitive and physical disability scales in Multiple Sclerosis patients

Abstract

Composite MRI scales of central nervous system tissue destruction correlate stronger with clinical outcomes than their individual components in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. Using machine learning (ML), we previously developed Combinatorial MRI scale (COMRISv1) solely from semi-quantitative (semi-qMRI) biomarkers. Here, we asked how much better COMRISv2 might become with the inclusion of quantitative (qMRI) volumetric features and employment of more powerful ML algorithm. The prospectively acquired MS patients, divided into training (n = 172) and validation (n = 83) cohorts underwent brain MRI imaging and clinical evaluation. Neurological examination was transcribed to NeurEx™ App that automatically computes disability scales. qMRI features were computed by lesion-TOADS algorithm. Modified random forest pipeline selected biomarkers for optimal model(s) in the training cohort. COMRISv2 models validated moderate correlation with cognitive disability [Spearman Rho = 0.674; Lin's concordance coefficient (CCC) = 0.458; p < 0.001] and strong correlations with physical disability (Spearman Rho = 0.830–0.852; CCC = 0.789–0.823; p < 0.001). The NeurEx led to the strongest COMRISv2 model. Addition of qMRI features enhanced performance only of cognitive disability model, likely because semi-qMRI biomarkers measure infratentorial injury with greater accuracy. COMRISv2 models predict most granular clinical scales in MS with remarkable criterion validity, expanding scientific utilization of cohorts with missing clinical data.