Prediction models for lymph node metastasis in cervical cancer based on preoperative heart rate variability

Abstract

BackgroundThe occurrence of lymph node metastasis (LNM) is one of the critical factors in determining the staging, treatment and prognosis of cervical cancer (CC). Heart rate variability (HRV) is associated with LNM in patients with CC. The purpose of this study was to validate the feasibility of machine learning (ML) models constructed with preoperative HRV as a feature of CC patients in predicting CC LNM.MethodsA total of 292 patients with pathologically confirmed CC admitted to the Department of Gynecological Oncology of the First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical University from November 2020 to September 2023 were included in the study. The patient’ preoperative 5-min electrocardiogram data were collected, and HRV time-domain, frequency-domain and non-linear analyses were subsequently performed, and six ML models were constructed based on 32 parameters. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity.ResultsAmong the 6 ML models, the random forest (RF) model showed the best predictive performance, as specified by the following metrics on the test set: AUC (0.852), accuracy (0.744), sensitivity (0.783), and specificity (0.785).ConclusionThe RF model built with preoperative HRV parameters showed superior performance in CC LNM prediction, but multicenter studies with larger datasets are needed to validate our findings, and the physiopathological mechanisms between HRV and CC LNM need to be further explored.