Changes in nonfunctional adrenal incidentaloma after COVID-19 infection and a model for predicting benign and malignant adrenal incidentaloma

Abstract

AimsTo compare nonfunctional adrenal incidentalomas (NFAI) in individuals with and without a history of COVID-19 infection, while also establishing predictive models for distinguishing between benign and malignant adrenal incidentalomas (AI).MethodsA retrospective collection of data from patients with AI who underwent surgery and were verified in our hospital between April 2022 and June 2023 was conducted. A total of 121 patients were included in the study. Demographic information, tumor characteristics, functional indicators, and complications were compared among the patients. Statistical analyses utilized the t-test for continuous variables and Pearson chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test for categorical variables.ResultsPatients with COVID-19 exhibited a higher prevalence of obesity (84.2% vs. 63.3%, P=0.048) and elevated direct bilirubin (DBIL) levels (44.1% vs. 19.2%, P=0.043) compared to those without COVID-19. Moreover, patients with Malignant AI, in contrast to Benign AI, showed higher normal total protein (TP) levels (28.8% vs. 57.1%, P=0.016) and larger tumor sizes (20 vs. 32.5mm, P=0.009). Univariate analysis identified low TP (OR=0.303, 95% CI=0.111-0.825, P=0.020) and tumor size (OR=1.045, 95% CI=1.011-1.080, P=0.009) as potential risk factors for multivariate analysis. A predictive model comprising clinical risk factors (tumor size and low TP) demonstrated an AUC of 0.754 (95% CI, 0.603-0.904) with a sensitivity of 0.75 and specificity of 0.775. The calibration curve revealed a bias-corrected AUC of 0.77.ConclusionNo discernible differences in the clinical manifestations of adrenal incidentalomas were observed between cases with and without a history of COVID-19 infection. However, AI with larger tumor diameters and lower than normal levels of total protein exhibited a more pronounced malignant potential.