Author:
Sun Chen,Fan Liyuan,Wang Wenqing,Wang Weiwei,Liu Lei,Duan Wenchao,Pei Dongling,Zhan Yunbo,Zhao Haibiao,Sun Tao,Liu Zhen,Hong Xuanke,Wang Xiangxiang,Guo Yu,Li Wencai,Cheng Jingliang,Li Zhicheng,Liu Xianzhi,Zhang Zhenyu,Yan Jing
Abstract
BackgroundIsocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutation and 1p19q codeletion status have been identified as significant markers for therapy and prognosis in lower-grade glioma (LGG). The current study aimed to construct a combined machine learning-based model for predicting the molecular subtypes of LGG, including (1) IDH wild-type astrocytoma (IDHwt), (2) IDH mutant and 1p19q non-codeleted astrocytoma (IDHmut-noncodel), and (3) IDH-mutant and 1p19q codeleted oligodendroglioma (IDHmut-codel), based on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics, qualitative features, and clinical factors.MethodsA total of 335 patients with LGG (WHO grade II/III) were retrospectively enrolled. The sum of 5,929 radiomics features were extracted from multiparametric MRI. Selected robust, non-redundant, and relevant features were used to construct a random forest model based on a training cohort (n = 269) and evaluated on a testing cohort (n = 66). Meanwhile, preoperative MRIs of all patients were scored in accordance with Visually Accessible Rembrandt Images (VASARI) annotations and T2-fluid attenuated inversion recovery (T2-FLAIR) mismatch sign. By combining radiomics features, qualitative features (VASARI annotations and T2-FLAIR mismatch signs), and clinical factors, a combined prediction model for the molecular subtypes of LGG was built.ResultsThe 17-feature radiomics model achieved area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.6557, 0.6830, and 0.7579 for IDHwt, IDHmut-noncodel, and IDHmut-codel, respectively, in the testing cohort. Incorporating qualitative features and clinical factors into the radiomics model resulted in improved AUCs of 0.8623, 0.8056, and 0.8036 for IDHwt, IDHmut-noncodel, and IDHmut-codel, with balanced accuracies of 0.8924, 0.8066, and 0.8095, respectively.ConclusionThe combined machine learning algorithm can provide a method to non-invasively predict the molecular subtypes of LGG preoperatively with excellent predictive performance.