Based on the Development and Verification of a Risk Stratification Nomogram: Predicting the Risk of Lung Cancer-Specific Mortality in Stage IIIA-N2 Unresectable Large Cell Lung Neuroendocrine Cancer Compared With Lung Squamous Cell Cancer and Lung Adenocarcinoma

Abstract

BackgroundThe purpose of this study is to predict overall survival (OS) and lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS) in patients with stage IIIA-N2 unresectable lung squamous cell cancer (LUSC), lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), and large cell neuroendocrine cancer (LCNEC) by constructing nomograms and to compare risk and prognostic factors affecting survival outcomes in different histological subtypes.MethodsWe included 11,505 unresectable NSCLC patients at stage IIIA-N2 between 2010 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Moreover, competition models and nomograms were developed to predict prognostic factors for OS and LCSS.ResultsAnalysis of the SEER database identified 11,505 NSCLC patients, of whom 5,559 (48.3%) have LUAD, 5,842 (50.8%) have LUSC, and 104 (0.9%) have LCNEC. Overall, both OS and LCSS were significantly better in stage IIIA-N2 unresectable LUAD than in LCNEC, while there was no statistically significant difference between LUSC and LCNEC. Age, gender, T stage, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy were significantly associated with OS rates in LUAD and LUSC. However, chemotherapy was the only independent factor for LCNEC (p < 0.01).From competitive risk models, we found that older age, larger tumors, non-chemotherapy and non-radiotherapy were associated with a increased risk of death from LUAD and LUSC. Unlike prognostic factors for OS, our study showed that both chemotherapy and radiotherapy were all LCNEC-specific survival factors for both LCSS and non-LCSS LCNEC.ConclusionOur study reports that unresectable patients with stage IIIA-N2 LCNEC and LUSC have worse LCSS than LUAD. The study’s first prognostic nomogram constructed for patients with unresectable stage IIIA-N2 NSCLC can accurately predict the survival of different histological types, which may provide a practical tool to help clinicians assess prognosis and stratify these prognostic risks to determine which patients should be given an optimized individual treatment strategy based on histology.