Multi-Year Survey and Bayesian Modeling Approach for Characterizing Arsenic Pollution in Marine Clams Cultivated Along the Tidal Flats of Mid-Eastern China

Abstract

Marine clam is one of the main sources of arsenic (As), and the tidal flats of Jiangsu Province are considered major culturing areas for clams in mid-eastern China. In view of increasingly severe pollution in this region, concerns have been raised by the consumers with the safety of clams they purchased or may purchase. To address these concerns, we conducted a multi-year survey to determine the levels of As and As species in five major clam species cultivated in eight production areas of this region. Based on the above analysis data, Bayesian statistics used a Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach was applied to predict the toxic As residue distributions in clams produced in this region and their health risks to Chinese adults. It was found that the bioaccumulation ability of total As (tAs) and inorganic As (iAs) was species-specific, while Mactra veneriformis (MV) had the strongest accumulation capacity for toxic iAs (0.22–2.85 mg/kg dw). Up to 6.7% of the tested MV samples exceeding the iAs limit of China Food and Drug Administration. The content of iAs was also found to be related significantly to the harvest seasons, with clam in the spawning period (June) having the lowest iAs concentrations. The non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic health risk from dietary exposure to iAs associated with MV consumption was rather high, which suggested that specific attention should be paid to the safety of clam consumption in this region.