An Integrated Approach for Failure Analysis of Natural Gas Transmission Pipeline

Abstract

The main aim of this study is to identify the most important natural gas pipeline failure causes and interrelation analysis. In this research, the rough analytic hierarchy process (Rough-AHP) is used to identify the natural gas pipeline failure causes rank order. Then a combination of rough decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) and interpretive structural modeling (ISM) method is applied to generate the level of importance. The comparison of traditional DEMATEL and Rough-DEMATEL are also performed to establish the cause-effect interrelation diagram. Finally, the Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) is combined with Rough DEMATEL and ISM to identify the interrelation analysis among the most crucial failure causes. As a result, the energy supply company and government policymaker can take necessary safety plan and improve the operation. The main outcome of this study is to improve the security management and reduce the potential failure risks.