Identification of Risk Influential Factors for Fishing Vessel Accidents Using Claims Data from Fishery Mutual Insurance Association

Author:

Wang Fang123,Du Weijie4,Feng Hongxiang123ORCID,Ye Yun123ORCID,Grifoll Manel5ORCID,Liu Guiyun123,Zheng Pengjun123ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Faculty of Maritime and Transportation, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315832, China

2. Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China

3. National Traffic Management Engineering & Technology Research Centre, Ningbo University Sub-Centre, Ningbo 315832, China

4. Ningbo Pilot Station, Ningbo 315040, China

5. Barcelona School of Nautical Studies, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya—BarcelonaTech, 08003 Barcelona, Spain

Abstract

This research aims to identify and analyze the significant risk factors contributing to accidents involving fishing vessels, a crucial step towards enhancing safety and promoting sustainable practices in the fishing industry. Using a data-driven Bayesian network (BN) model that incorporates feature selection through the random forest (RF) method, we explore these key factors and their interconnected relationships. A review of past academic studies and accident investigation reports from the Fishery Mutual Insurance Association (FMIA) revealed 17 such factors. We then used the random forest model to rank these factors by importance, selecting 11 critical ones to build the Bayesian network model. The data-driven Bayesian network (BN) model is further utilized to delve deeper into the central factors influencing fishing vessel accidents. Upon validation, the study results show that incorporating the random forest feature selection method enhances the simplicity, reliability, and precision of the BN model. This finding is supported by a thorough performance evaluation and scenario analysis.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment,Geography, Planning and Development,Building and Construction

Reference50 articles.

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4. Expert elicitation and Bayesian Network modeling for shipping accidents: A literature review;Zhang;Saf. Sci.,2016

5. Analysis of factors affecting the severity of marine accidents using a data-driven Bayesian network;Cao;Ocean Eng.,2023

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