Examination of a Short-Term, Prognostic Predictive Method for Terminal Cancer Patients Using the Barthel Index

Abstract

For the estimation of short-term prognosis in terminal cancer patients, it is important to establish a prognostic index that does not involve blood tests. We compared the prognostic ability of the Barthel Index (BI) with the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS). Ninety-seven inpatients with terminal cancer at Onomichi Municipal Hospital who died between 2018 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) were compared between the BI and GPS. For predicting the 15 day prognosis, the BI showed higher specificity, accuracy, and AUROC than the GPS. For predicting the 30 day prognosis, the BI showed higher sensitivity, accuracy, and AUROC than the GPS. The BI can predict the 15 or 30 day prognosis in terminal cancer patients. As the BI does not require blood tests, it may be an option for prognostic prediction in terminal cancer patients.