Optimization of Solar Panel Orientation Considering Temporal Volatility and Scenario-Based Photovoltaic Potential: A Case Study in Seoul National University

Abstract

University campuses accommodate large numbers of people and are suitable places to organize a microgrid. The solar potential in the university area is estimated and the optimal orientation of solar panels is presented in this study. The optimal orientation is analyzed considering temporal volatility to increase the stability of the grid. Several variables are selected and scenarios are designed to consider various investments and technologies. Scenario-specific photovoltaic potentials were estimated using Geographic Information Systems analysis technology. Analysis of temporal volatility was conducted based on the difference between demand and supply of electricity. Optimal panel orientations were presented according to project objectives, such as highest efficiency or low volatility. As a result, the total potential of the study area was tens to hundreds of GWh/year depending on the scenario. The university has an advantage in hourly volatility, but has some problems in monthly volatility. The optimal orientation varies according to objectives and solar power supply ratio. The results of this study are expected to help researchers and technicians in the solar energy industry and assist in urban planning.