Combination Test for Mean Shift and Variance Change

Abstract

This paper considers a new mean-variance model with strong mixing errors and describes a combination test for the mean shift and variance change. Under some stationarity and symmetry conditions, the important limiting distribution for a combination test is obtained, which can derive the limiting distributions for the mean change test and variance change test. As an application, an algorithm for a three-step method to detect the change-points is given. For example, the first step is to test whether there is at least a change-point. The second and third steps are to detect the mean change-point and the variance change-point, respectively. To illustrate our results, some simulations and real-world data analysis are discussed. The analysis shows that our tests not only have high powers, but can also determine the mean change-point or variance change-point. Compared to the existing methods of cpt.meanvar and mosum from the R package, the new method has the advantages of recognition capability and accuracy.