Immediate Radiological Risk Evaluation after a Hypothetical Radioactive Off-Site Release Event

Abstract

This study used an analytical computational model to evaluate safe zones in contaminated areas that may result from a hypothetical significant off-site release from a nuclear power plant. The model, considering local atmospheric stability, wind direction, and location, calculates the expected total effective dose equivalent (TEDE) and potential safety zones. This research, focused on an area near a nuclear facility affected by an accidental release, used SCALE and HotSpot Health Physics codes to simulate the reactor’s core inventory content and off-site release. This study’s findings underscore that the risk of developing solid cancer (testing morbidity) is influenced by both local atmospheric stability and the composition of the potentially affected population (primarily age and sex). These findings, backed by an analytical approach, can significantly influence logistical and operational planning. The utilization of computer simulations can also aid in creating flexible response scenarios to real events.