On an Aggregated Estimate for Human Mobility Regularities through Movement Trends and Population Density

Author:

Vanni Fabio12ORCID,Lambert David3

Affiliation:

1. Department of Economics, University of Insubria, 21100 Varese, Italy

2. Université Côte d’Azur, CNRS, GREDEG, 06103 Nice-Sophia Antipolis, France

3. Department of Physics, University of North Texas, Denton, TX 76205, USA

Abstract

This article introduces an analytical framework that interprets individual measures of entropy-based mobility derived from mobile phone data. We explore and analyze two widely recognized entropy metrics: random entropy and uncorrelated Shannon entropy. These metrics are estimated through collective variables of human mobility, including movement trends and population density. By employing a collisional model, we establish statistical relationships between entropy measures and mobility variables. Furthermore, our research addresses three primary objectives: firstly, validating the model; secondly, exploring correlations between aggregated mobility and entropy measures in comparison to five economic indicators; and finally, demonstrating the utility of entropy measures. Specifically, we provide an effective population density estimate that offers a more realistic understanding of social interactions. This estimation takes into account both movement regularities and intensity, utilizing real-time data analysis conducted during the peak period of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Funder

Agence Nationale de la Recherche

National Institutes of Health

Publisher

MDPI AG

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