Transmission of Seeding Agent for Aircraft Precipitation Enhancement Based on the HYSPLIT Model

Abstract

The precipitation enhancement operation data of aircraft from 2014 to 2019 and the global data assimilation system (NCEP GDAS) were used in this study. The transport process of the transmission of artificial precipitation enhancement seeding agents for aircraft was successfully simulated by the HYSPLIT model. The purpose of the study was to explore the applicability of the model in determining the artificial precipitation enhancement influence area and provide a technical method for evaluating the effect of artificial precipitation enhancement. The results show that (1) the HYSPLIT model can be used to track the transmission of aircraft precipitation enhancement seeding agents hourly. Suppose the seeding route satisfies the condition that the route and its interval area are the effective seeding area within 3 h after the end of the seeding agent. In that case, the seeding area’s boundary points can be used as dynamic change markers in the influence area. (2) The HYSPLIT model was used to simulate 24 aircraft precipitation enhancement seeding agent transmission processes. The transmission path for the seeding agent influence altitude layer was mostly southwest or west; the angle ranged from 225° to 268°; the horizontal transport distance of the seeding agent for three hours was 100–200 km; the vertical transmission direction was mostly upward; the range was 0–1200 m; the influence area decreased at the third h of seeding agent transport for 71% of the precipitation enhancement operations. (3) Based on the dynamic variations of 24 aircraft precipitation affected areas determined by the HYSPLIT model, and the contrast area selected by the similarity measurement method, 15 (63%) aircraft precipitation operations contributed to the increase in precipitation.