Quantifying the Effects of Global Warming on the Plankton Population: An Asymmetric Multifactor Mathematical Model-Based Approach

Abstract

A nonlinear dynamical model for the plankton population in a fixed sea area under the influence of asymmetric multiple factors, including atmospheric CO2 concentration, atmospheric temperature, nutrient concentration, seawater temperature, light intensity, and predator density is proposed to address the survival of the plankton population due to global warming. The model’s accuracy is confirmed by comparison with actual data, and numerical simulations are carried out to justify the relevant findings. The results suggest that increasing plankton’s ability to absorb atmospheric CO2 or regulate atmospheric temperature can help to mitigate global warming. Furthermore, if the population density of fish, the primary predator of plankton, falls within a certain range, the increase in atmospheric temperature will be mitigated. Additionally, the stability conditions for the suggested model are obtained, along with the equilibrium point of the system. Overall, this paper considers the effects of asymmetric multifactor interaction on plankton population density and establishes a mathematical connection between environmental ecosystems and plankton that might aid in addressing the challenges posed by global warming and preserving the plankton population.