Forward or Backward: Lessons Learned from Small Molecule Drugs Approved by FDA from 2012 to 2022

Abstract

At every juncture in history, the design and identification of new drugs pose significant challenges. To gain valuable insights for future drug development, we conducted a detailed analysis of New Molecular Entitiy (NME) approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) from 2012 to 2022 and focused on the analysis of first-in-class (FIC) small-molecules from a perspective of a medicinal chemist. We compared the change of numbers between all the FDA-approved NMEs and FIC, which could be more visual to analyze the changing trend of FIC. To get a more visual change of molecular physical properties, we computed the annual average trends in molecular weight for FIC across various therapeutic fields. Furthermore, we consolidated essential information into three comprehensive databases, which covered the indications, canonical SMILES, structural formula, research and development (R&D) institutions, molecular weight, calculated LogP (CLogP), and route of administration on all the small-molecule pharmaceutical. Through the analysis of the database of 11 years of approvals, we forecast the development trend of NME approval in the future.