The Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of the Ceramics Industry in Jingdezhen in the Last 40 Years

Abstract

The ceramic industry has been vital to the city’s development and prosperity in Jingdezhen, but the development of the ceramics industry in Jingdezhen has been unclear since China’s economic reforms, which will become a bottleneck limiting the sustainable development of the city. This study explored the spatial agglomeration and spatiotemporal evolution of the ceramics industry in Jingdezhen from 1980 to 2020 using enterprise directory data. The study opted for a microscopic perspective and employed kernel density estimation and exploratory spatial data analysis to obtain the necessary results. It also analyzed the influencing factors using a Geodetector. The results show that the temporal evolution of the ceramics industry in Jingdezhen went through two stages from 1980 to 2020. The number of enterprises experienced exponential growth, with fluctuations. The spatial evolution of the ceramics industry transitioned from a “single-center” to a “double-center” model and further evolved into a “multi-center” model. Moreover, the spatial agglomeration of the ceramics industry underwent the process of “agglomeration-diffusion-polarization”, ultimately developing into four ceramic industrial agglomeration patterns in six hotspots. Agglomeration, historical, technological, policy, and transportation factors had positive effects on the evolution of the ceramics industry in Jingdezhen, with agglomeration being the top contributor. Likewise, there were obvious interactions between the factors. This study can provide a basis for formulating policies to support urban spatial planning for urban revitalization, and provide foundation for the development of the national ceramic culture inheritance and innovation pilot zone in Jingdezhen.