Risk Factors Associated with 30-Day Mortality in Older Patients with Influenza

Abstract

Background: Influenza is a common viral condition, but factors related to short-term mortality have not been fully studied in older adults. Our objective was to determine whether there is an association between geriatric factors and 30-day mortality. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort design. All patients aged 75 years and over, with a diagnosis of influenza confirmed by a positive RT-PCR, were included. The primary endpoint was death within the 30 days after diagnosis. Results: 114 patients were included; 14 (12.3%) patients died within 30 days. In multivariate analysis these patients were older (OR: 1.37 95% CI (1.05, 1.79), p = 0.021), and had a lower ADL score (OR: 0.36 95% CI (0, 17; 0.75), p = 0.006), and a higher SOFA score (OR: 2.30 95% CI (1.07, 4.94), p = 0.03). Oseltamivir treatment, initiated within the first 48 h, was independently associated with survival (OR: 0.04 95% CI (0.002, 0.78), p = 0.034). Conclusions: Identification of mortality risk factors makes it possible to consider specific secondary prevention measures such as the rapid introduction of antiviral treatment. Combined with primary prevention, these measures could help to limit the mortality associated with influenza in older patients.