Prediction of Aerosol Extinction Coefficient in Coastal Areas of South China Based on Attention-BiLSTM

Abstract

The aerosol extinction coefficient (AEC) characterises the attenuation of the light propagating in a turbid medium with suspended particles. Therefore, it is of great significance to carry out AEC prediction research using state-of-art neural network (NN) methods. The attention mechanism (AM) has become an indispensable part of NNs that focuses on input weight assignment. Traditional AM is used in time steps to help generate the outputs. To select important features of meteorological parameters (MP) that are helpful for forecasting, in this study, we apply AM to features instead of time steps. Then we propose a bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) NN based on AM to predict the AEC. The proposed method can remember information twice (i.e., forward and backward), which can provide more context for AEC forecasting. Finally, an in situ measured MP dataset is applied in the proposed model, which presents Maoming coastal area’s atmospheric conditions in November 2020. The experimental results show that the model proposed in this paper has higher accuracy compared with traditional NN, providing a novel solution to the AEC prediction problem for the current studies of marine aerosol.