The Usefulness of the C2HEST Score in Predicting the Clinical Outcomes of COVID-19 in COPD and Non-COPD Cohorts

Author:

Gawryś Jakub1,Doroszko Adrian2ORCID,Dróżdż Olgierd3ORCID,Trocha Małgorzata3ORCID,Gajecki Damian2ORCID,Gawryś Karolina1,Szahidewicz-Krupska Ewa1,Rabczyński Maciej3,Kujawa Krzysztof4ORCID,Rola Piotr5ORCID,Stanek Agata6ORCID,Sokołowski Janusz7,Madziarski Marcin8ORCID,Jankowska Ewa Anita9ORCID,Bronowicka-Szydełko Agnieszka10,Bednarska-Chabowska Dorota3,Kuźnik Edwin3,Madziarska Katarzyna3ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Clinical Department of Internal and Occupational Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Hypertension and Clinical Oncology, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Str. 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland

2. Clinical Department of Cardiology, 4th Military Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Weigla 5 Str., 50-981 Wroclaw, Poland

3. Clinical Department of Diabetology and Internal Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Str. 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland

4. Statistical Analysis Centre, Wroclaw Medical University, K. Marcinkowski Str. 2-6, 50-368 Wroclaw, Poland

5. Department of Cardiology, Provincial Specialized Hospital, Iwaszkiewicz Str. 5, 59-220 Legnica, Poland

6. Department and Clinic of Internal Medicine, Angiology and Physical Medicine, Faculty of Medical Sciences in Zabrze, Medical University of Silesia, Batory Str. 15, 41-902 Bytom, Poland

7. Department of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Str. 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland

8. Clinical Department of Rheumatology and Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland

9. Institute of Heart Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Wroclaw Medical University, Borowska Street 213, 50-556 Wroclaw, Poland

10. Department of Biochemistry and Immunochemistry, Faculty of Medicine, Wroclaw Medical University, Chałubińskiego St.10, 50-368 Wrocław, Poland

Abstract

Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) infected with SARS-CoV-2 indicate a higher risk of severe COVID-19 course, which is defined as the need for hospitalization in the intensive care unit, mechanical ventilation, or death. However, simple tools to stratify the risk in patients with COPD suffering from COVID-19 are lacking. The current study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the C2HEST score in patients with COPD. A retrospective analysis of medical records from 2184 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 at the University Hospital in Wroclaw from February 2020 to June 2021, which was previously used in earlier studies, assessed outcomes such as mortality during hospitalization, all-cause mortality at 3 and 6 months, non-fatal discharge, as well as adverse clinical incidents. This re-analysis specifically examines the outcomes using a COPD split. In the COPD group, 42 deaths were recorded, including 18 in-hospital deaths. In-hospital mortality rates at 3 and 6 months did not significantly differ among C2HEST strata, nor did their impact on subsequent treatment. However, a notable association between the C2HEST score and prognosis was observed in the non-COPD cohort comprising 2109 patients. The C2HEST score’s predictive ability is notably lower in COPD patients compared to non-COPD subjects, with COPD itself indicating a high mortality risk. However, C2HEST effectively identifies patients at high risk of cardiac complications during COVID-19, especially in non-COPD cases.

Publisher

MDPI AG

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