Applied Machine Learning for Geometallurgical Throughput Prediction—A Case Study Using Production Data at the Tropicana Gold Mining Complex

Abstract

With the increased use of digital technologies in the mining industry, the amount of centrally stored production data is continuously growing. However, datasets in mines and processing plants are not fully utilized to build links between extracted materials and metallurgical plant performances. This article shows a case study at the Tropicana Gold mining complex that utilizes penetration rates from blasthole drilling and measurements of the comminution circuit to construct a data-driven, geometallurgical throughput prediction model of the ball mill. Several improvements over a previous publication are shown. First, the recorded power draw, feed particle and product particle size are newly considered. Second, a machine learning model in the form of a neural network is used and compared to a linear model. The article also shows that hardness proportions perform 6.3% better than averages of penetration rates for throughput prediction, underlining the importance of compositional approaches for non-additive geometallurgical variables. When adding ball mill power and product particle size, the prediction error (RMSE) decreases by another 10.6%. This result can only be achieved with the neural network, whereas the linear regression shows improvements of 4.2%. Finally, it is discussed how the throughput prediction model can be integrated into production scheduling.