Monitoring of Cropland Abandonment Based on Long Time Series Remote Sensing Data: A Case Study of Fujian Province, China

Abstract

Farmland is the basis for human survival and development. The phenomenon of cropland abandonment has seriously affected national agricultural production and food security. In this study, remote sensing monitoring of abandoned cropland is carried out based on multisource time series remote sensing data using the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud platform. Landsat and Sentinel-2 time series data from 2010–2021 were used to obtain monthly synthetic cloud-free image sets in combination with cropland plot data. The time series farmland probability dataset was generated using the random forest classification method. The LandTrendr algorithm was used to extract and analyse the time series cropland probability dataset. Finally, this study also explored the drivers of change in abandoned cropland in Fujian Province. The results show that (1) the LandTrendr algorithm can effectively extract abandoned farmland and avoid the impact of pseudovariation resulting from non-farmland categories. A total of 87.02% of the abandoned farmland was extracted in 2018; 87.50% of the abandoned farmland was extracted in 2020. (2) The abandoned area in Fujian Province fluctuated after a significant increase in 2012, with the abandoned area exceeding 30 thousand hectares. Since 2017, the abandoned area has decreased to slightly below 30 thousand hectares. (3) The regression results of the factors affecting abandoned cropland in Fujian Province show that the increase in the number of agricultural workers and the improvement in soil organic matter content will significantly reduce the area of abandoned cropland in Fujian Province, while the increase in the rate of urbanization, poor road accessibility, and insufficient irrigation conditions will increase the area of abandoned cropland. The results of this study are useful for conducting surveys of cropland abandonment and obtaining timely and accurate data on cropland abandonment. The results of this study are of great significance for the development of effective measures to stop the abandonment of cropland, and ensure the implementation of food security strategies.