Predicting the Fishery Ground of Jumbo Flying Squid (Dosidicus gigas) off Peru by Extracting Features of the Ocean Environment

Abstract

We introduce a novel method that combines satellite data, advanced clustering techniques, machine learning feature extraction, and statistical models to enhance fishery forecasting accuracy. Focusing on jumbo flying squid in the southeast Pacific Ocean near Peru, we utilize MODIS-Aqua and MODIS-Terra satellite data on sea surface temperature (SST) to construct a deep convolutional embedded clustering (DCEC) model and extract the monthly SST features (FM) based on an optimized number of clusters determined by the Davies–Bouldi index (DBI). We use the extracted FM to construct a series of Generalized Additive Models (GAM) to forecast the catch per unit effort (CPUE) of jumbo flying squid within a spatial resolution of 0.5° × 0.5°. Our results demonstrate the following findings: (1) The SST feature clusters obtained through the DCEC model could capture the SST monthly variations; (2) The GAM models with FM outperform the models with the traditional monthly average SST in terms of predictive accuracy; (3) Using both FM and average SST together can further improve model performance. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of the DCEC combined with DBI in extracting marine environmental features and highlights the ocean environment feature extraction method to enhance the precision and reliability of fishery forecasting models.