Exploring the Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity of Carbon Emission from Energy Consumption and Its Influencing Factors in the Yellow River Basin

Abstract

Scientific estimation and dynamic monitoring on the heterogeneity of carbon emission from energy consumption (CEEC) is the basis for formulating and implementing regional carbon reduction strategies to realize the goal of carbon neutrality and high-quality development. This study analyzes the temporal and spatial differences of CEEC and its driving factors in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) from 2000 to 2018 based on the Log-Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) time decomposition method and the multi-regional (M-R) space decomposition method. The results indicate the following: The amount of CEEC of the YRB increased greatly from 2000 to 2012, and then expressed a convergence trend after 2012, with obvious spatial differences. The economic development is the leading factor that promotes the increase in CEEC in the YRB, energy intensity is the main force for the reduction in CEEC, and their influencing effectiveness varies significantly in different periods and provinces. Spatially, the larger economic development in Shandong, Henan, and Sichuan causes the higher level of CEEC, and the regulation of energy intensity in Shanxi, Ningxia, and Inner Mongolia is important for the reduction in their CEEC. The impact effectiveness of economic structure and energy structure on CEEC in the YRB is relatively weak, and they are potential factors for the reduction in CEEC. Therefore, the corresponding emission reduction measures in nine provinces of the YRB should focus on reducing energy intensity, building a green energy system, and strengthening “green” economic development to achieve high-quality development in the YRB. This study is designed to explore the spatiotemporal variations and influencing factors of carbon emissions in the nine provinces of the YRB, which is of great significance for achieving low-carbon development in the region.