A Complete and High-Resolution Estimate of Sardinia’s Rooftop Photovoltaic Potential

Abstract

The implementation of the energy transition and the building of energy communities are driving forward the exploitation of the potential for rooftop photovoltaic power generation. Estimating rooftop PV generation potential requires the processing of different types of data, such as the cadastral information of buildings, a detailed description of available rooftop areas, and solar irradiance data. High-resolution estimation based on GIS data is normally limited to small survey areas. Instead, by using an algorithm for the efficient calculation of shadows over rooftops, and the integration of solar irradiance over time, we developed a procedure that allows for the rapid full census assessment of rooftop photovoltaic potential with a spatial resolution of 1 m, applicable at the regional scale and requiring minimal computational resources. We applied this approach to the rooftops of buildings in Sardinia, an island and region of Italy of particular interest for the energy transition. In addition to estimating the geographic potential, we carried out a preliminary assessment of the technical and economic potential, yielding a maximal photovoltaic rooftop generation potential of 22 TWh for the entire region.