Prediction of Intracranial Pressure in Patients with an Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Using Optic Nerve Sheath Diameter via Explainable Predictive Modeling

Abstract

Background: The objective of this investigation was to formulate a model for predicting intracranial pressure (ICP) by utilizing optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD) during endovascular treatment for an aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), incorporating explainable predictive modeling. Methods: ONSD measurements were conducted using a handheld ultrasonography device during the course of endovascular treatment (n = 126, mean age 58.82 ± 14.86 years, and female ratio 67.46%). The optimal ONSD threshold associated with an increased ICP was determined. Additionally, the association between ONSD and ICP was validated through the application of a linear regression machine learning model. The correlation between ICP and various factors was explored through the modeling. Results: With an ICP threshold set at 20 cmH2O, 82 patients manifested an increased ICP, with a corresponding ONSD of 0.545 ± 0.08 cm. Similarly, with an ICP threshold set at 25 cmH2O, 44 patients demonstrated an increased ICP, with a cutoff ONSD of 0.553 cm. Conclusions: We revealed a robust correlation between ICP and ONSD. ONSD exhibited a significant association and demonstrated potential as a predictor of ICP in patients with an ICP ≥ 25 cmH2O. The findings suggest its potential as a valuable index in clinical practice, proposing a reference value of ONSD for increased ICP in the institution.