Locating Multiple Sources of Contagion in Complex Networks under the SIR Model

Abstract

Simultaneous outbreaks of contagion are a great threat against human life, resulting in great panic in society. It is urgent for us to find an efficient multiple sources localization method with the aim of studying its pathogenic mechanism and minimizing its harm. However, our ability to locate multiple sources is strictly limited by incomplete information about nodes and the inescapable randomness of the propagation process. In this paper, we present a valid approach, namely the Potential Concentration Label method, which helps locate multiple sources of contagion faster and more accurately in complex networks under the SIR(Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) model. Through label assignment in each node, our aim is to find the nodes with maximal value after several iterations. The experiments demonstrate that the accuracy of our multiple sources localization method is high enough. With the number of sources increasing, the accuracy of our method declines gradually. However, the accuracy remains at a slight fluctuation when average degree and network scale make a change. Moreover, our method still keeps a high multiple sources localization accuracy with noise of various intensities, which shows its strong anti-noise ability. I believe that our method provides a new perspective for accurate and fast multi-sources localization in complex networks.