Co-Occurrence of Earthquake and Climatic Events on Groundwater Budget Alteration in a Fractured Carbonate Aquifer (Sibillini Mts.—Central Italy)

Abstract

The combination of several factors related both to human pressure as well as natural issues could lead to a marked alteration of the groundwater budget terms and a decrease in groundwater availability. The basal aquifer of the Sibillini Mts. is a strategic resource of drinking water in the central sector of Apennine (Italy). The seismic sequence that occurred in this area in 2016 induced transient and sustained modifications in the aquifer settings. Springs located on the western side of the Sibillini Mts. were characterized by an increased discharge, while in contrast, the eastern springs suffered an intense drop in their groundwater discharge. In 2017, a drought period started immediately after the exhaustion of the seismic sequence effect. The comparison between the recharge and discharge of the major springs in the 2000–2020 period allowed the definition of the different responses of the aquifer to the co-occurrence of earthquakes and climatic events. The hydrodynamic alteration triggered by the earthquake induced a huge depletion of the groundwater stored in the eastern sector of the basal aquifer (at least 50 × 106 m3). The scarce recharge occurring in the following drought period (more than 30% of the average annual value) was not enough to restore the groundwater resources, causing a serious drinking water supply crisis in the main tapped springs in the eastern sector of the aquifer.