The Effects of Urbanisation on Green Growth within Sustainable Development Goals

Abstract

The Green Deal policy and Sustainable Development Goals require that the economic development of a country should be reoriented towards ‘green‘ economic development. Currently, the globalisation and intensification of production boosts urbanisation in many countries, which may stimulate economic growth and improve citizen well-being, but may also lead to excessive consumption of resources and negative environmental impacts. Against the backdrop of these challenges, it is expedient to estimate the effects of urbanisation on the green growth of a country and define the relevant changes and instruments for achieving green growth in a country in view of urbanisation. The research covers the EU countries and Ukraine (as an official candidate for European Union membership) in the period of 2005–2020. Applying the Global Malmquist–Luenberger productivity index (to estimate green economic growth); a fixed and random effects model, GMM modelling (to evaluate the impact of urbanisation on green economic growth), this study aimed to contribute to the theoretical framework of green economic growth by extending input and undesirable output parameters of a country’s productivity. The findings revealed that, in 2020, as compared to 2005, green economic growth went into a decline in all countries analysed, this decline stemmed from accelerated urbanisation. However, industrial structure and research and development appeared to be conducive to green economic growth, which justifies the idea that countries should focus on implementing structural reforms for the technological modernisation of infrastructure and industrial complexes to dispose of the shortcomings caused by urbanisation. To compensate for this negative impact, the findings of this research prompt a set of policy implications concerning dissemination of the green knowledge and technologies, green project implementation, reinforcement of incentive instruments and achievement of a synergistic balance of economic and ecological targets underlying the SDGs.