Artificial Neural Network Model for Predicting Mechanical Strengths of Economical Ultra-High-Performance Concrete Containing Coarse Aggregates: Development and Parametric Analysis

Abstract

Ultra-high-performance concrete with coarse aggregates (UHPC-CA) has the advantages of high strength, strong shrinkage resistance and a lower production cost, presenting a broad application prospect in civil engineering construction. In view of the difficulty in establishing a mathematical model to accurately predict the mechanical properties of UHPC-CA, the back-propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) method is used to fully consider the various influential factors of the compressive strength (CS) and flexural strength (FS) of UHPC-CA in this paper. By taking the content of cement (C), silica fume (SF), slag, fly ash (FA), coarse aggregate (CA), steel fiber, the water–binder ratio (w/b), the sand rate (SR), the cement type (CT), and the curing method (CM) as input variables, and the CS and FS of UHPC-CA as output objectives, the BP-ANN model with three layers has been well-trained, validated and tested with 220 experimental data in the studies published in the literature. Four evaluating indicators including the determination coefficient (R2), the root mean square error (RMSE), the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and the integral absolute error (IAE) were used to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the BP-ANN model. A parametric study for the various influential factors on the CS and FS of UHPC-CA was conducted using the BP-ANN model and the corresponding influential mechanisms were analyzed. Finally, the inclusion levels for the CA, steel fiber, and the dimensionless parameters of the W/B and sand rate were recommended to obtain the optimal strength of UHPC-CA.