An Evaluation of the Hitit Index in Differential Diagnosis of Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever in the Emergency Department

Author:

Komut Seval1,Çorakyer Nurullah1,Kaplan Gülcan2,Baykam Nurcan2

Affiliation:

1. Department of Emergency Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hitit University, 19040 Çorum, Turkey

2. Department of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Hitit University, 19040 Çorum, Turkey

Abstract

Background and Objectives: Crimean-Congo Hemorrhagic Fever (CCHF) is a viral zoonotic infection, which is seen over a wide geographic area. The mortality rate is in inverse proportion to the ability of patients to access healthcare services. Therefore, early identification of patients is extremely important. The aim of this study was to test the sensitivity and specificity of the Hitit Index in the differentiation of CCHF cases at the time of presentation at the Emergency Department and to evaluate the agreement of this index with molecular (CCHFV RNA) and/or serological diagnostic tests (ELISA-CCHF IgM). Materials and Methods: The patients included were those who presented at the Emergency Department (ED) with the complaint of a tick bite or those identified as potential CCHF cases as a result of complaints and/or laboratory findings. For cases that met the study inclusion criteria, the Hitit Index score was calculated automatically from the parameters included in the index formula uploaded to the automation system in the ED at the time of presentation. Through comparisons of the agreement of the Hitit Index with the CCHFV-RNA and/or IgM results the power of the Hitit Index for differentiation of CCHF cases in ED was evaluated. Results: The data of 273 patients were analyzed. There was a history of tick bite in 236 (86%) cases. Of the evaluated cases, 110 (40.2%) were hospitalized; CCHF positivity was determined in 72 (26.4%). The Hitit Index values calculated in ED and at 24 h after hospitalization were determined to be significant in the prediction of the CCHF cases (p < 0.001, AUC = 0.919 (0.887–0.951); p < 0.001, AUC = 0.902 (0.841–0.962). For a cut-off point of 0 of the Hitit Index evaluated in ED, the classification success was found to have a sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 88% (PPV-NPV). For a cut-off point of 0 of the Hitit Index evaluated at 24 h after hospitalization, the classification success was found to have a sensitivity of 79.7% and specificity of 84% (PPV-NPV). Conclusions: The defined form of the Hitit Index can be used in the differentiation of CCHF cases in ED with high sensitivity and specificity levels. Just as evaluation with the Hitit Index prevents unnecessary hospitalization, it can also contribute to reducing mortality rates with the early identification of CCHF cases.

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

General Medicine

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