A Spectral Precursor Indicative of Artificial Water Reservoir-Induced Seismicity: Observations from the Xiangjiaba Reservoir, Southwestern China

Abstract

Spectral analysis is an effective tool for processing seismic signals, particularly when time-domain characteristics are challenging to capture. In this study, we developed a method using P-wave signals to calculate the power spectrum, enabling the estimation of two spectral parameters—peak frequency and shape factor—for earthquakes recorded by regional seismic networks in the Xiangjiaba (XJB) reservoir area from 2010 to 2015. The temporal evolution of the two spectral parameters was analyzed, revealing that the mean values of individual spectral parameters remain relatively stable despite variations in reservoir water levels. However, a notable increase in the ratio of the shape factor to the peak frequency is observed when the XJB reservoir reaches its maximum water level, suggesting its potential as a precursor indicator for reservoir-induced seismicity (RIS). Furthermore, we performed spatial interpolation on the spectral parameters, and the results show that reservoir impoundment significantly influences the spatial distribution of these parameters. In addition, several regions between the two faults in the tail section of the XJB reservoir exhibit an elevation in the proposed precursor indicator. This study presents a new approach for monitoring and early warning of RIS.