Abstract
Rice is a staple food in most Asian countries, and food security is often viewed as having a rice supply to avoid a food crisis. The large number of people who have low incomes means there is a risk of household economic conditions being threatened when food prices are not controlled. We present a different approach by measuring rice price volatility at the local market level with climate and macroeconomic variables. The model succeeds in representing the variables that affect rice prices by an average of 75% nationally. The influence of macroeconomic variables and climate dynamics was found to have a non-uniform pattern from one region to another. The factors that dominate the volatility of rice prices in each province were different. To help address these problems, it is suggested to model and integrate climate data and macroeconomic variables. The output can be used to determine national policies for controllable factors and anticipate climate dynamics to reduce the risk that communities will have difficulty accessing food.
Subject
Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment,Geography, Planning and Development
Reference67 articles.
1. Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in The Food and Agriculture Sector,2008
2. A multi-model assessment of food security implications of climate change mitigation
3. Rising Food Prices, Food Price Volatility, and Social Unrest
4. Synthesis of findings from the four McGill conferences on global food security: 2008–2011
5. Responding to Global Food Price Volatility and Its Impact on Food Securityhttps://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/426561468336325684/responding-to-global-food-price-volatility-and-its-impact-on-food-security-chairmans-summing-up
Cited by
12 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献