Abstract
We analyse a simple disease transmission model accounting for demographic features and an illness appearing in two forms, asymptomatic and symptomatic. Its main feature is the epidemic-induced fear of the population, for which contacts are reduced, responding to increasing symptomatic numbers. We find that in the presence of asymptomatic individuals, if the progression rate to symptomatic is high, protection measures may prevent the whole population becoming infected. The results also elucidate the importance of assessing transmission rates as quickly as possible.
Funder
“Metodi numerici per l’approssimazione e le scienze della vita” of the Dipartimento di Matematica “Giuseppe Peano”, Università di Torino
Subject
Geometry and Topology,Logic,Mathematical Physics,Algebra and Number Theory,Analysis
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