Fractional–Order Modeling and Control of COVID-19 with Shedding Effect

Author:

Baba Isa A.12ORCID,Humphries Usa W.2,Rihan Fathalla A.34ORCID,Valdés J. E. N.5ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Mathematics, Bayero University, Kano 700241, Nigeria

2. Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, King Mongkuts University of Science and Technology Thonburi (KMUTT), Bangkok 10140, Thailand

3. Department of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, UAE University, Al Ain 15551, United Arab Emirates

4. Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Helwan University, Cairo 11795, Egypt

5. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales y Agrimensura, Universidad Nacional del Nordeste, Corrientes Capital 3400, Argentina

Abstract

A fractional order COVID-19 model consisting of six compartments in Caputo sense is constructed. The indirect transmission of the virus through susceptible populations by the shedding effect is studied. Equilibrium solutions are calculated, and basic reproduction ratio (that depends both on direct and indirect mode of transmission), existence and uniqueness, as well as stability analysis of the solution of the model, are studied. The paper studies the effect of optimal control policy applied to shedding effect. The control is the observation of standard hygiene practices and chemical disinfectants in public spaces. Numerical simulations are carried out to support the analytic result and to show the significance of the fractional order from the biological viewpoint.

Funder

King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi

Publisher

MDPI AG

Subject

Geometry and Topology,Logic,Mathematical Physics,Algebra and Number Theory,Analysis

Reference34 articles.

1. Stability Analysis of an HIV/AIDS Epidemic model with screening;Musali;Int. Math. Forum,2011

2. Mathematical analysis and computational experiments for an epidemic system with nonlocal and nonsingular derivative;Owolabi;Chaos Solitons Fractals,2019

3. Modeling the Spread of Ebola;Do;Osong Public Health Res. Perspect.,2016

4. Modelling the effect of early detection of Ebola;Chowell;Lancet. Infect. Dis.,2015

5. Predicting the cumulative number of cases for the COVID-19 epidemic in China from early data;Liu;Math. Biosci. Eng.,2020

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3