Combining Advanced Feature-Selection Methods to Uncover Atypical Energy-Consumption Patterns

Abstract

Understanding household energy-consumption patterns is essential for developing effective energy-conservation strategies. This study aims to identify ‘out-profiled’ consumers—households that exhibit atypical energy-usage behaviors—by applying four distinct feature-selection methodologies. Specifically, we utilized the chi-square independence test to assess feature independence, recursive feature elimination with multinomial logistic regression (RFE-MLR) to identify optimal feature subsets, random forest (RF) to determine feature importance, and a combined fuzzy rough feature selection with fuzzy rough nearest neighbors (FRFS-FRNN) for handling uncertainty and imprecision in data. These methods were applied to a dataset based on a survey of 383 households in Brazil, capturing various factors such as household size, income levels, geographical location, and appliance usage. Our analysis revealed that key features such as the number of people in the household, heating and air conditioning usage, and income levels significantly influence energy consumption. The novelty of our work lies in the comprehensive application of these advanced feature-selection techniques to identify atypical consumption patterns in a specific regional context. The results showed that households without heating and air conditioning equipment in medium- or high-consumption profiles, and those with lower- or medium-income levels in medium- or high-consumption profiles, were considered out-profiled. These findings provide actionable insights for energy providers and policymakers, enabling the design of targeted energy-conservation strategies. This study demonstrates the importance of tailored approaches in promoting sustainable energy consumption and highlights notable deviations in energy-use patterns, offering a foundation for future research and policy development.