Model Calibration of Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacodynamic Lung Tumour Dynamics for Anticancer Therapies

Abstract

Individual curves for tumor growth can be expressed as mathematical models. Herein we exploited a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PKPD) model to accurately predict the lung growth curves when using data from a clinical study. Our analysis included 19 patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with specific hypofractionated regimens, defined as stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT). The results exhibited the utility of the PKPD model for testing growth hypotheses of the lung tumor against clinical data. The model fitted the observed progression behavior of the lung tumors expressed by measuring the tumor volume of the patients before and after treatment from CT screening. The changes in dynamics were best captured by the parameter identified as the patients’ response to treatment. Median follow-up times for the tumor volume after SBRT were 126 days. These results have proven the use of mathematical modeling in preclinical anticancer investigations as a potential prognostic tool.