Temporal Dynamics of Global Barren Areas between 2001 and 2022 Derived from MODIS Land Cover Products

Abstract

Long-term monitoring studies on the transition of different land cover units to barren areas are crucial to gain a better understanding of the potential challenges and threats that land surface ecosystems face. This study utilized the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) land cover products (MCD12C1) to conduct geospatial analysis based on the maximum extent (MaxE) concept, to assess the spatiotemporal changes in barren areas from 2001 to 2022, at global and continental scales. The MaxE area includes all the pixels across the entire period of observations where the barren land cover class was at least once present. The relative expansion or reduction of the barren areas can be directly assessed with MaxE, as any annual change observed in the barren distribution is comparable over the entire dataset. The global barren areas without any land change (UA) during this period were equivalent to 12.8% (18,875,284 km2) of the global land surface area. Interannual land cover changes to barren areas occurred in an additional area of 3,438,959 km2 (2.3% of the global area). Globally, barren areas show a gradual reduction from 2001 (91.1% of MaxE) to 2012 (86.8%), followed by annual fluctuations until 2022 (88.1%). These areas were mainly interchanging between open shrublands and grasslands. A relatively high transition between barren areas and permanent snow and ice is found in Europe and North America. The results show a 3.7% decrease in global barren areas from 2001 to 2022. Areas that are predominantly not barren account for 30.6% of the transitional areas (TAs), meaning that these areas experienced short-term or very recent transitions from other land cover classes to barren. Emerging barren areas hotspots were mainly found in the Mangystau region (Kazakhstan), Tibetan plateau, northern Greenland, and the Atlas Mountains (Morocco, Tunisia).