Baseline CTC Count as a Predictor of Long-Term Outcomes in High-Risk Prostate Cancer

Abstract

The aim of the present study was to verify whether the baseline circulating tumor cell (CTC) count might serve as a predictor of overall survival (OS) and metastasis-free survival (MFS) in patients with high-risk prostate cancer (PCa) during a follow-up period of at least 5 years. CTCs were enumerated using three different assay formats in 104 patients: the CellSearch® system, EPISPOT assay and GILUPI CellCollector. A total of 57 (55%) patients survived until the end of the follow-up period, with a 5 year OS of 66% (95% CI: 56–74%). The analysis of univariate Cox proportional hazard models identified a baseline CTC count ≥ 1, which was determined with the CellSearch® system, a Gleason sum ≥ 8, cT ≥ 2c and metastases at initial diagnosis as significant predictors of a worse OS in the entire cohort. The CTC count ≥ 1 was also the only significant predictor of a worse OS in a subset of 85 patients who presented with localized PCa at the baseline. The baseline CTC number did not affect the MFS. In conclusion, the baseline CTC count can be considered a determinant of survival in high-risk PCa and also in patients with a localized disease. However, determining the prognostic value of the CTC count in patients with localized PCa would optimally require longitudinal monitoring of this parameter.