Spatial Analysis of Flood Hazard Zoning Map Using Novel Hybrid Machine Learning Technique in Assam, India

Abstract

Twenty-two flood-causative factors were nominated based on morphometric, hydrological, soil permeability, terrain distribution, and anthropogenic inferences and further analyzed through the novel hybrid machine learning approach of random forest, support vector machine, gradient boosting, naïve Bayes, and decision tree machine learning (ML) models. A total of 400 flood and nonflood locations acted as target variables of the flood hazard zoning map. All operative factors in this study were tested using variance inflation factor (VIF) values (<5.0) and Boruta feature ranking (<10 ranks) for FHZ maps. The hybrid model along with RF and GBM had sound flood hazard zoning maps for the study area. The area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curve and statistical model matrices such as accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and gain and lift curve were applied to assess model performance. The 70%:30% sample ratio for training and validation of the standalone models concerning the AUROC value showed sound results for all the ML models, such as RF (97%), SVM (91%), GBM (97%), NB (96%), DT (88%), and hybrid (97%). The gain and lift curve also showed the suitability of the hybrid model along with the RF, GBM, and NB models for developing FHZ maps.