A Scoring System for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Quantitative Functional MRI

Abstract

Microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a histopathological marker and risk factor for HCC recurrence. We integrated diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and magnetic resonance (MR) image findings of tumors into a scoring system for predicting MVI. In total, 228 HCC patients with pathologically confirmed MVI who underwent surgical resection or liver transplant between November 2012 and March 2021 were enrolled retrospectively. Patients were divided into a right liver lobe group (n = 173, 75.9%) as the model dataset and a left liver lobe group (n = 55, 24.1%) as the model validation dataset. Multivariate logistic regression identified two-segment involved tumor (Score: 1; OR: 3.14; 95% CI: 1.22 to 8.06; p = 0.017); ADCmin ≤ 0.95 × 10−3 mm2/s (Score: 2; OR: 10.88; 95% CI: 4.61 to 25.68; p = 0.000); and largest single tumor diameter ≥ 3 cm (Score: 1; OR: 5.05; 95% CI: 2.25 to 11.30; p = 0.000), as predictive factors for the scoring model. Among all patients, sensitivity was 89.66%, specificity 58.04%, positive predictive value 68.87%, and negative predictive value 84.41%. For validation of left lobe group, sensitivity was 80.64%, specificity 70.83%, positive predictive value 78.12%, and negative predictive value 73.91%. The scoring model using ADCmin, largest tumor diameter, and two-segment involved tumor provides high sensitivity and negative predictive value in MVI prediction for use in routine functional MR.