The Diagnostic Accuracy of Second Trimester Plasma Glycated CD59 (pGCD59) to Identify Women with Gestational Diabetes Mellitus Based on the 75 g OGTT Using the WHO Criteria: A Prospective Study of Non-Diabetic Pregnant Women in Ireland

Abstract

The aim of this study was to evaluate the ability of second trimester plasma glycated CD59 (pGCD59), a novel biomarker, to predict the results of the 2 h 75 g oral glucose tolerance test at 24–28 weeks of gestation, employing the 2013 World Health Organisation criteria. This was a prospective study of 378 pregnant women. The ability of pGCD59 to predict gestational diabetes (GDM) was assessed using adjusted ROC curves for maternal age, BMI, maternal ethnicity, parity, previous GDM, and family history of diabetes. The pGCD59 levels were significantly higher in women with GDM compared to women with normal glucose tolerance (p = 0.003). The pGCD59 generated an adjusted AUC for identifying GDM cases of 0.65 (95%CI: 0.58–0.71, p < 0.001). The pGCD59 predicted GDM status diagnosed by a fasting glucose value of 5.1 mmol/L with an adjusted AUC of 0.74 (95%CI: 0.65–0.81, p < 0.001). Analysis of BMI subgroups determined that pGCD59 generated the highest AUC in the 35 kg/m2 ≤ BMI < 40 kg/m2 (AUC: 0.84 95%CI: 0.69–0.98) and BMI ≥ 40 kg/m2 (AUC: 0.96 95%CI: 0.86–0.99) categories. This study found that second trimester pGCD59 is a fair predictor of GDM status diagnosed by elevated fasting glucose independent of BMI and an excellent predictor of GDM in subjects with a very high BMI.