Prediction of Vacant Parking Spaces in Multiple Parking Lots: A DWT-ConvGRU-BRC Model

Abstract

For cities, the problem of “difficult parking and chaotic parking” increases carbon emissions and reduces quality of life. Accurately and efficiently predicting the availability of vacant parking spaces (VPSs) can help motorists reduce the time spent looking for a parking space and reduce greenhouse gas pollution. This paper proposes a deep learning model called DWT-ConvGRU-BRC to predict the future availability of VPSs in multiple parking lots. The model first uses a discrete wavelet transform (DWT) to denoise the historical parking data and then extracts the temporal correlation of the parking lots themselves and the spatial correlation between different parking lots using a convolutional gated recurrent unit network (ConvGRU) while using a BN-ReLU-Conv (1 × 1) module to further improve the propagation and reuse of features in the prediction process. In addition, the model uses availability, temperature, humidity, wind speed, weekdays, and weekends as inputs to improve the accuracy of the forecasts. The model performance is evaluated through a case study of 11 parking lots in Santa Monica. The DWT-ConvGRU-BRC model outperforms the LSTM and GRU baseline methods, with an average testing MAPE of 2.12% when predicting multiple parking lot occupancies over the subsequent 60 min.