An Expert System Based on Data Mining for a Trend Diagnosis of Process Parameters

Abstract

In order to diagnose abnormal trends in the process parameters of industrial production, the Expert System based on rolling data Kernel Principal Component Analysis (ES-KPCA) and Support Vector Data Description (ES-SVDD) are proposed in this paper. The expert system is capable of identifying large-scale trend changes and abnormal fluctuations in process parameters using data mining techniques, subsequently triggering timely alarms. The system consists of a rule-based assessment of process parameter stability to evaluate whether the process parameters are stable. Also, when the parameters are unstable, the rolling data-based KPCA and SVDD methods are used to diagnose abnormal trends. ES-KPCA and ES-SVDD methods require adjusting seven threshold parameters during the offline parameter adjustment phase. The system obtains the adjusted parameters and performs a real-time diagnosis of process parameters based on the set diagnosis interval during the online diagnosis phase. The ES-KPCA and ES-SVDD methods emphasize the real-time alarms and the first alarm of process parameter abnormal trends, respectively. Finally, the system validates the experimental data from UniSim simulation and a chemical plant. The results show that the expert system has an outstanding diagnostic performance for abnormal trends in process parameters.