A Revised Meiyu-Season Onset Index for Taiwan Based on ERA5

Abstract

Revisiting the defined Meiyu onset of Central Weather Bureau (CWB), this study applied a newer reanalysis dataset and added multiple timing and duration criteria to improve the Meiyu onset index. The previous Meiyu onset index was based on horizontal and vertical wind shears using older-generation reanalysis data. The horizontal shear captures the cyclonic vorticity while the vertical shear depicts overturning. However, this older index tends to predict the onset date too early from the actual maximum precipitation. After applying the modification that is described in this paper, the newer Meiyu onset index consistently leads the maximum precipitation in Taiwan only by a few days, except for two years over the 30-year analysis period. The implication of this modified and improved Meiyu onset index is that it can substitute model precipitation that tends to be problematic, as well as studying climate change impacts.