Brittleness Evolution Model of the Supply Chain Network Based on Adaptive Agent Graph Theory under the COVID-19 Pandemic

Abstract

The triggering of supply chain brittleness has a significant impact on enterprise benefits under attack from the COVID-19 pandemic. The complexity of the supply chain system, the uncertainty of the COVID-19 pandemic, and demand uncertainty have made the triggering and propagation of supply chain brittleness complicated. In this study, a brittleness evolution model based on adaptive agent graph theory has been constructed. The parameters of brittleness evolution, including brittleness entropy and the vertex state value, have been quantitatively designed, and the brittleness evolution model in which the adaptability of nodes is considered and is not considered is constructed. A simulation algorithm based on the integrated scheduling model of the supply chain has been established. Finally, the practicability of the proposed model and algorithm is demonstrated via a case study of an electronic supply chain network. The results indicate that the proposed model and algorithm can effectively analyze the brittleness evolution law of the supply chain under the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, including the evolution law of the vertex state, the brittleness entropy of the vertex, the global entropy of brittleness, the seasonal evolution law of the supply chain brittleness, and the evolution law of the brittleness behavior.